Q4 Newsletter | Today’s Fears Won’t Be Tomorrow’s: The Fed and Beyond

Q3 in Review: The Bond Market Knew After the Fed brought pain to stocks in the first few months of […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Launching the Game of Trades Model Portfolio: A Collection of Our Best Bets

Here’s the video version of the article: Summary Today we’re launching the Game of Trades Model Portfolio, the product of […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Is the Market Over-reacting to the CPI Report? | The Fed at Neutral: What Now?

We hope you enjoy the research laid out in the article below. Here’s the video version of the article: Summary […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Is the Earnings Boom on the Verge of Collapsing? A Constructive View

Summary Analysts have begun cutting earnings estimates, worried that the Fed’s rate hikes will kill the post-Covid earnings boom. We’re […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Industrial Metals: Weak Demand from China Has Taken a Toll, Opportunity?

Summary China’s industrial production growth has fallen behind than in the U.S. lately, something we’ve not really seen in the […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Oil: Demand Takes Center Stage, Still Looks Overvalued

Summary The supply shock that overran the commodity market post-Covid is fading, supplanted by concerns around demand. We believe oil […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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The Dollar’s Secular Bull Run: A Tale of Never-Ending Global Crises

Summary The dollar has been on a secular rise since the days of the European debt crisis. The appreciation has […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Stocks are Expensive: An Unfavorable Starting Point

Summary We’re constructive on stocks over the next six-to-12 months but valuations do look pricey: a concern for long-term investors. […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Bust in Treasury Bonds Creates Attractive Hedging Opportunity, Stocks and Bonds Unfazed by Latest Hot CPI Print

Summary: The steep selloff in bonds this year creates an excellent opportunity for equity investors to load up on cheap […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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Is the Economy Set for Another Boom or for a 2008-Style Rug-Pull? Why a Recession Could Be Bullish

Summary: Falling valuations have driven the selloff in stocks this year. The question now is whether bad earnings will drive […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

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