Macro Note: The Labor Market is Buying Time for the Fed

Excess Demand for Labor is Waning As we mentioned in the last Macro Note, leading economic indicators are signaling weakness […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Macro Note: Deep Curve Inversion = Deep Recession?

The Yield Curve is Deeply Inverted In the last Macro Note we highlighted that stocks typically produced below-average returns in […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

A Treacherous Second Half of 2023. | The Bond Market Does Not Think The Fed Can Go Further.

Here is today’s premium video covering: Is the window of opportunity for a stock market rally closing? SP500 technical posture […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Macro Note: Could Disinflation Actually Boost Stocks?

Peak Inflation Generally Leads Stocks Higher In the prior Macro Note we showed that yield curve inversions signal a pessimistic […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Walk Through of Key Trades: USD’s Decline and US Stocks | Short-USD Bets On Fire (EWGS and EWY)

Here is today’s premium video covering: The USD’s recent price action and what to expect next. Its impact on US […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Macro Note: Stocks Face Headwinds Post-Yield Curve Inversion

Stock Returns are Weak Following Curve Inversions Today we’ll expand the work from earlier this week on curve inversions, taking […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Mirror Image TLT Set Up to 2021. | How The Unemployment Rate Will Impact the Market.

Here is today’s premium video:     To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Bitcoin Model Indicates Big Undervaluation | Technical Analysis Setup

Following a failed breakout, Bitcoin continues to consolidate between resistance at $17,6k and support at $15,8k. The failed breakout and […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Macro Note: Yield Curve Inversion + Peak Inflation are Big Macro Stories

Yield Curve Inversion: An Important Macro Regime The 10-year/2-year U.S. yield curve inverted in August, the first time that’s happened […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More

Lightning Report: The Fed is Late to the Game, Again. | VIX Calling the Bluff

This update will be focused on the recent key market developments in the stock and bond markets. The recent price […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership

Choose a membership

Read More