The S&P 500 fell 10% from July as interest rates surged. The 10-year Treasury yield topped 5%, a level […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Today’s weak level of existing home sales (4 million/year) are similar to the 2008 real estate bust. History shows that […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
The last time we saw the yield curve steepen like today was in January 2007. Historically, this happens around 5 […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
S&P 500 long-term valuations are about the most expensive in 110 years. With stocks at such an unfavorable starting point, […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
The Fed paused in July, but stocks have been in free fall since. Aren’t Fed pauses supposed to be good […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Summary Tech stocks had disconnected from real rates earlier this year as speculation around AI drove interest in the sector. […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Summary The big spike in the oil price of the last 2 months has triggered worries that an oil shock […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Summary Weak economic momentum in Europe and China have sown fears of negative spillovers into S&P 500 stocks. Q2 saw […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Here is today’s premium video covering: Some of the key considerations for pushing out the timeline of the upcoming recession […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership
Summary Higher interest rates have been the main culprit behind the S&P 500’s latest weakness, with their correlation to the […] To access this content please upgrade to another membership